Big Difference News

If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?

Mar 24, 2:01 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

514325984

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.03%chance

1297151

OptionVotes

YES

2739

2274

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

May 25, 5:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.41%chance

364988

OptionVotes

YES

1048

957

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Oct 4, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.88%chance

689521

OptionVotes

YES

1049

930

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Mar 25, 8:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74%chance

11207

OptionVotes

YES

1093

951

Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?

Oct 14, 7:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.35%chance

457480

OptionVotes

YES

1111

931

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?

Aug 28, 8:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.63%chance

20508

OptionVotes

YES

1055

958

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

62.07%chance

17243

OptionVotes

YES

1139

891

How much will further COVID boosters affect my chance of infection through 2024?

Oct 13, 10:00 PMDec 16, 7:59 AM

8444

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

221891

OptionVotes

YES

1154

959

This question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)

Sep 30, 10:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.35%chance

3511111

OptionVotes

YES

967

928

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

51%chance

759

OptionVotes

YES

156

143

Latest stories

Artemas, ILLIT, Harry Styles Surge on Global Spotify Chart
Authors
4
3 months
Culture
'Big Difference' by Nicki Minaj Eyes #1 on iTunes, Priced at $1.29
Authors
4
4 months
Culture
Nicki Minaj's 'FTCU' and 'Big Difference' Gain Momentum on Charts, Aiming for US iTunes #1 and Billboard 200 Rise
Authors
5
4 months
Culture
Doja Cat Equals Minaj's Record for Most #1 Hits; Raiders' Playoff Chances at 93% with 2 Wins
Authors
6
6 months
Culture

Big Difference News

Prediction markets for Big Difference

Prediction markets for Big Difference

Prediction markets for Big Difference

If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

How much will further COVID boosters affect my chance of infection through 2024?

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

This question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Big Difference

Prediction markets for Big Difference

Prediction markets for Big Difference

If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?