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Best Practices News
Prediction markets for Best Practices
Prediction markets for Best Practices
By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?
Jun 4, 10:13 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32%
chance
11
333
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1017
986
[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?
Oct 22, 8:52 AM
Jan 2, 12:00 PM
50.4%
chance
8
189
Option
Votes
NO
YES
154
142
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AM
Mar 1, 12:59 PM
6.85%
chance
84
6140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1823
1536
Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038
May 24, 3:25 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
10.88%
chance
10
2943
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2863
349
Will Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?
Nov 15, 10:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:30 PM
61%
chance
25
1516
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1106
911
Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
May 24, 2:22 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
5.57%
chance
5
3160
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4119
243
Will Andrés Manuel López Obrador be the de facto head of government of Mexico on July 1st, 2025?
Mar 7, 1:49 AM
Jul 1, 1:59 PM
8.01%
chance
11
2314
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1311
929
Will the aetiology of autism be determined by the end of 2026?
Aug 5, 3:06 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.86%
chance
21
1143
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1913
901
By How Much Does Micro-Dosed LSD Improve Meditative Absorption in a Self-Blinded RCT?
Nov 29, 11:15 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
6
174
By How Much Does Vitamin D₃ Improve Meditative Absorption in a Self-Blinded RCT?
Nov 29, 10:36 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
11
705
By How Much Does THC Oil Improve Meditative Absorption in a Self-Blinded RCT?
Dec 1, 6:32 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
10
230
By How Much Does CBD Improve Meditative Absorption in a Self-Blinded RCT?
Nov 30, 12:09 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
9
210
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'NITI For States' DPI Platform Launched, Features 7,500 Best Practices
Authors
5
4 months
India
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