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Best Film News
Prediction markets for Best Film
Prediction markets for Best Film
Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?
Jan 21, 4:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
80.25%
chance
7
105
Option
Votes
NO
YES
245
109
Which films will be nominated for the Oscar for Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards?
Mar 12, 9:20 PM
Feb 10, 1:29 PM
14
1846
Will the 2025 Academy Awards see a non-English language film win Best Picture?
Mar 14, 8:23 PM
Mar 22, 3:59 AM
11.94%
chance
9
303
Option
Votes
YES
NO
471
190
What will be true about the Oscar Best Picture winner at the 97th Academy Awards? (Films from 2024)
Dec 13, 3:54 PM
Apr 1, 3:59 AM
7
423
What will be true about the Oscar Best Picture winner at the 97th Academy Awards? (Films from 2024) [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 11, 5:07 AM
Mar 21, 3:59 AM
5
211
Will Lady Gaga compete for the Oscar for best actress in 2025?
Apr 10, 4:48 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
49.5%
chance
10
155
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1003
995
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
40.13%
chance
32
1703
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1171
854
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
Apr 2, 1:06 AM
Jan 2, 12:59 PM
24.72%
chance
20
638
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1208
888
Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?
May 8, 5:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.12%
chance
35
1151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1042
969
Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?
Mar 8, 5:34 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
6.2%
chance
14
713
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1514
903
How accurate will Variety’s Oscar predictions be?
Mar 15, 12:50 PM
Mar 17, 6:59 AM
28.68%
chance
4
168
Option
Votes
YES
NO
219
123
What will be the title/focus of the next Star Wars film? (Releasing 05/22/26)
Oct 20, 4:10 AM
May 24, 5:59 AM
8
49
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4
2 months
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Authors
6
2 months
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Authors
13
3 months
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5
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44
4 months
Culture
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31
4 months
Culture
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Authors
30
4 months
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34
4 months
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Authors
12
4 months
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Authors
17
5 months
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Authors
6
6 months
Culture
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Authors
5
6 months
Culture
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Authors
11
6 months
Culture
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Authors
29
6 months
Culture
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Authors
16
7 months
Culture
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Authors
5
8 months
Culture
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Authors
5
8 months
Culture
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Authors
4
8 months
Culture
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