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Top stories

Coinbase Partners with Stripe to Enable USDC Transfers on Base, Enhancing Onchain Growth and $COIN
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Onchain Summer Launches with KIKI and Base Collaboration During Build v5, Apply by July 7th
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Team Liquid, Community Gaming, and Coinbase Launch $20K USDC Tournaments on Base for Onchain Summer
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Prediction markets for Base

When will most end users of Synapse-based fintechs be able to withdraw their funds?

Jun 25, 2:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3875

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.4%chance

151070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5673

4770

1-hour AGI. A system capable of any computer-based task a human can do in 1 hour will be developed by end of 2026.

Mar 8, 4:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.51%chance

352704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1754

786

By EOY 2025, will the model with the lowest perplexity on Common Crawl will not be based on transformers?

Jan 5, 4:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.2%chance

313460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

877

Will Indonesia announce another export ban on palm oil or palm oil-based products in 2024?

Dec 2, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.87%chance

25980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1582

1357

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 9:00 PM

19.73%chance

2618679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

930

Will there be a Moon base by 2040?

Jun 24, 11:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.96%chance

341976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

916

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Oct 27, 3:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.77%chance

493219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2015

1196

Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?

Aug 23, 10:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

442902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

934

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

18.83%chance

2365624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

930

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2025?

Feb 16, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.83%chance

34416789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4654

1681

Will we see highly sophisticated AI-based aged account sockpuppet swarms before the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.39%chance

7229976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3285

710

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