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Background Conversations News
Prediction markets for Background Conversations
Prediction markets for Background Conversations
[ACX 2024] Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Jan 2, 6:00 PM
90.11%
chance
113
19711
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2801
976
Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?
Jun 13, 6:27 PM
Jan 20, 7:27 PM
63.39%
chance
15
479
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
996
Will I believe in an afterlife before 2025?
Dec 28, 12:43 AM
Dec 31, 8:01 AM
18.08%
chance
14
373
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1129
954
Will Manifold use conversion rate as a way to know if a market is good to show to someone?
Jan 4, 5:22 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28.73%
chance
2
29
Option
Votes
YES
NO
99
52
Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) feature natural and convenient speech-to-speech capabilities?
Apr 25, 11:28 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
79.2%
chance
9
355
Option
Votes
NO
YES
436
97
How big will the Google Trends Interest in autogynephilia in 2026-2028 be?
Jun 20, 7:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
What will be the most popular character chatbot service EOY 2024?
Jan 24, 8:04 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
28
753
Recommend me something to listen to while working.
Oct 9, 8:40 PM
0
0
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