Autonomous Driving News

XPeng to Compare Self-Driving Tech, Highlights Tesla FSD Challenges in China
Authors
6
5 days
China
Economics
AI

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.43%chance

9811726

OptionVotes

YES

2528

1892

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]

Oct 3, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.76%chance

342458

OptionVotes

YES

2177

2119

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

8.49%chance

302707

OptionVotes

YES

3283

305

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Mar 28, 8:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.02%chance

436938

OptionVotes

YES

1087

941

Will there be an autonomous driving car that can drive reliably in most of India, by 2040?

Dec 29, 8:52 AMFeb 25, 6:29 PM

57.46%chance

161185

OptionVotes

YES

1022

946

Will there be an autonomous driving car that can drive reliably in most of India, by 2030?

Dec 29, 3:33 PMFeb 25, 7:59 AM

15.03%chance

15383

OptionVotes

YES

1147

952

Will a fully autonomous car be able to drive in Mumbai in 2040?

Jun 22, 11:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.21%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

300

173

When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?

Feb 21, 12:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

160

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from SF to Palo Alto or back by the end of 2024?

Jan 22, 11:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.59%chance

7331

OptionVotes

YES

284

Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?

May 22, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.95%chance

4119918

OptionVotes

YES

8849

4835

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.59%chance

474773

OptionVotes

YES

1114

860

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

25.76%chance

11324

OptionVotes

YES

997

991

Latest stories

XPeng to Compare Self-Driving Tech, Highlights Tesla FSD Challenges in China
Authors
6
5 days
China
Economics
AI

Autonomous Driving News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Autonomous Driving

Prediction markets for Autonomous Driving

Prediction markets for Autonomous Driving

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Will there be an autonomous driving car that can drive reliably in most of India, by 2040?

Will there be an autonomous driving car that can drive reliably in most of India, by 2030?

Will a fully autonomous car be able to drive in Mumbai in 2040?

When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from SF to Palo Alto or back by the end of 2024?

Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Autonomous Driving

Prediction markets for Autonomous Driving

Prediction markets for Autonomous Driving

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Will there be an autonomous driving car that can drive reliably in most of India, by 2040?