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Attitude News
Prediction markets for Attitude
Prediction markets for Attitude
How will American attitudes towards Israel in general change, according to polling, at the end of the Israel-Gaza war?
Oct 18, 2:37 AM
Jan 2, 11:17 PM
28
1202
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Apr 5, 1:55 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
43.18%
chance
3
70
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
81
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291509
What's a common idea/opinion/concept that you think is overrated?
Oct 24, 8:44 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
76
9073
Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?
Oct 21, 5:26 AM
Oct 21, 6:59 AM
25.73%
chance
59
3326
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1388
1106
At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
Apr 4, 5:59 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
62.79%
chance
29
997
Option
Votes
NO
YES
994
980
Will the percentage of philosophers identifying as religious in the next PhilPapers Survey decrease?
Apr 13, 3:53 AM
Mar 16, 10:59 AM
82.85%
chance
39
707
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1494
824
Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?
Feb 8, 8:20 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
17.15%
chance
17
508
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1273
895
Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?
Apr 22, 4:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.83%
chance
14
769
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1053
941
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
Feb 12, 2:03 PM
Jun 2, 3:59 AM
22.48%
chance
3
55
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
63
Will Denver mayor Mike Johnston be successful in significantly reducing homelessness during his current term?
Sep 1, 6:55 AM
Jul 1, 6:00 AM
42%
chance
4
32
Option
Votes
YES
NO
119
102
Will this paper replicate (body odour disgust sensitivity -> xenophobia) with 2x participants?
Apr 15, 12:12 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
59%
chance
9
114
Option
Votes
NO
YES
190
187
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Don Toliver Releases New Album 'Hardstone Psycho' Featuring Travis Scott
Authors
7
21 days
Culture
Don Toliver Announces 'Hardstone Psycho' Album, Releases 'Attitude' Single Featuring Charlie Wilson, Cash Cobain, A Boogie, and J. Cole
Authors
13
1 month
Culture
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