Atlas News

Will there be an Atlas V launch failure before retirement?

Jun 11, 2:20 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

28.94%chance

1012110

OptionVotes

YES

12223

8871

Will ≥20 Atlas Fellows be actively working on ambitious projects aimed at large-scale problems? (M2500 subsidy)

Oct 4, 5:15 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

40.1%chance

342511

OptionVotes

YES

1781

1157

Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$100 million by the end of 2024?

Jan 24, 6:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.56%chance

6717156

OptionVotes

YES

1186

917

Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?

Mar 11, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.87%chance

141090

OptionVotes

YES

997

972

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

69.37%chance

37816

OptionVotes

YES

1131

915

Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?

Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.66%chance

416224

OptionVotes

YES

1097

803

Will an Atlas Fellow launch an AGI startup worth >$1 million by 2030?

Feb 4, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.83%chance

3920796

OptionVotes

YES

1650

777

Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?

Jul 31, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.92%chance

131403

OptionVotes

YES

1605

899

Will a transcriptomic and spatial cell-type atlas be created out of a parrot/bird species by EOY 2030?

Jan 11, 4:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Do over 30% of Atlas Fellows have manifold markets accounts?

Oct 21, 10:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.15%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

Will a comprehensive proteomic atlas be made of any parrot or cockatoo species by 2027?

Mar 19, 11:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.19%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

Will any of the Atlas Fellows have a family/babies by EOY 2027?

Feb 3, 7:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.51%chance

5267

OptionVotes

YES

254

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Atlas News

Prediction markets for Atlas

Prediction markets for Atlas

Prediction markets for Atlas

Will there be an Atlas V launch failure before retirement?

Will ≥20 Atlas Fellows be actively working on ambitious projects aimed at large-scale problems? (M2500 subsidy)

Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$100 million by the end of 2024?

Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?

Will an Atlas Fellow launch an AGI startup worth >$1 million by 2030?

Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?

Will a transcriptomic and spatial cell-type atlas be created out of a parrot/bird species by EOY 2030?

Do over 30% of Atlas Fellows have manifold markets accounts?

Will a comprehensive proteomic atlas be made of any parrot or cockatoo species by 2027?

Will any of the Atlas Fellows have a family/babies by EOY 2027?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Atlas

Prediction markets for Atlas

Prediction markets for Atlas

Will there be an Atlas V launch failure before retirement?

Will ≥20 Atlas Fellows be actively working on ambitious projects aimed at large-scale problems? (M2500 subsidy)

Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$100 million by the end of 2024?

Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?

Will an Atlas Fellow launch an AGI startup worth >$1 million by 2030?