AT News

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.81%chance

1779986941

OptionVotes

YES

6290

4532

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Apr 13, 10:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

23.12%chance

1586789918

OptionVotes

YES

18096

9202

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

May 16, 4:58 PMJul 8, 6:59 PM

96.14%chance

633481606

OptionVotes

YES

271196

12796

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.63%chance

14934559

OptionVotes

YES

1084

947

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Nov 18, 2:49 PMOct 16, 10:59 PM

15.75%chance

10677886

OptionVotes

YES

2318

1810

Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?

Jun 10, 8:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.68%chance

3511

OptionVotes

YES

10472

9549

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?

Mar 16, 5:09 PMAug 16, 4:59 AM

21.37%chance

183790

OptionVotes

YES

15275

10433

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.8%chance

423135059

OptionVotes

YES

3277

1565

Will Harry Kane score more goals at EURO 2024 than the entire teams of Poland and Albania combined?

Jun 2, 3:53 AMJul 14, 9:59 PM

7.36%chance

4942064

OptionVotes

YES

35537

2854

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Jun 10, 9:14 AMJul 3, 10:59 PM

94%chance

1730457

OptionVotes

YES

40087

2800

Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?

Apr 29, 8:55 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

52%chance

257138795

OptionVotes

YES

1804

1722

Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Dec 13, 9:10 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

93.28%chance

15926538

OptionVotes

YES

4654

1393

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AT News

Prediction markets for AT

Prediction markets for AT

Prediction markets for AT

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Will Harry Kane score more goals at EURO 2024 than the entire teams of Poland and Albania combined?

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?

Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for AT

Prediction markets for AT

Prediction markets for AT

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?