Artifacts News

Anthropic Launches Claude 3.5 Sonnet with Projects, Artifacts, and 200,000 Token Limit
Authors
81
5 days
AI
Business
Tech

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?

Dec 23, 7:50 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

232017

OptionVotes

YES

1032

951

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.14%chance

10136671

OptionVotes

YES

2767

1283

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?

Dec 23, 7:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.48%chance

20712

OptionVotes

YES

1080

845

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Jun 9, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

58.35%chance

333200

OptionVotes

YES

1061

937

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Jul 14, 8:55 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

35.23%chance

231296

OptionVotes

YES

1116

911

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?

Dec 23, 6:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

9.24%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

1374

921

Will anyone other than Trump or Desantis ever be front-runner for 2024 Republican nomination (judged by markets)?

Apr 20, 6:02 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

11.6%chance

15752

OptionVotes

YES

1254

924

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?

Dec 23, 6:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11.87%chance

10643

OptionVotes

YES

1181

946

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?

Dec 23, 6:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.91%chance

295138

OptionVotes

YES

1699

891

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.42%chance

151919

OptionVotes

YES

2501

718

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?

Dec 23, 6:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7.52%chance

211755

OptionVotes

YES

1420

925

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?

Dec 23, 6:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.12%chance

171848

OptionVotes

YES

1646

909

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Artifacts News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Artifacts

Prediction markets for Artifacts

Prediction markets for Artifacts

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?

Will anyone other than Trump or Desantis ever be front-runner for 2024 Republican nomination (judged by markets)?

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Artifacts

Prediction markets for Artifacts

Prediction markets for Artifacts

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030