AR News

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Nov 8, 6:18 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

53.3%chance

16464

OptionVotes

YES

1058

943

Will >100,000 people regularly use visual AR during everyday life by 2030

Dec 22, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.42%chance

26640

OptionVotes

YES

1058

968

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Mar 30, 9:35 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

47.76%chance

13168

OptionVotes

YES

1022

969

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

62.25%chance

18271

OptionVotes

YES

1002

988

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.74%chance

13257

OptionVotes

YES

1023

980

Apple releases more than 3 VR / AR headsets before 2031

Jan 23, 3:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

85.03%chance

20504

OptionVotes

YES

1218

936

Will my roommate see someone using an Apple AR Headset in a public cafe before 2025?

Jun 8, 2:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

72.72%chance

239

OptionVotes

YES

129

For AR, will passthrough optics dominate the consumer market (versus transparent optics) by EOY 2024

Jan 13, 4:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

98.17%chance

104039

OptionVotes

YES

1135

110

Will "Reconsider the anti-cavity bacteria if you ar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 8, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.73%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will augmented reality (AR) contact lenses be a thing before 2030 ?

Jan 2, 10:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30%chance

341

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will any country institute zones where it is illegal to go without wearing a MITM AR device by 2030?

Jun 26, 6:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.19%chance

595

OptionVotes

YES

193

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Feb 22, 4:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.45%chance

129189769

OptionVotes

YES

143881

71959

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AR News

Prediction markets for AR

Prediction markets for AR

Prediction markets for AR

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Will >100,000 people regularly use visual AR during everyday life by 2030

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Apple releases more than 3 VR / AR headsets before 2031

Will my roommate see someone using an Apple AR Headset in a public cafe before 2025?

For AR, will passthrough optics dominate the consumer market (versus transparent optics) by EOY 2024

Will "Reconsider the anti-cavity bacteria if you ar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will augmented reality (AR) contact lenses be a thing before 2030 ?

Will any country institute zones where it is illegal to go without wearing a MITM AR device by 2030?

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for AR

Prediction markets for AR

Prediction markets for AR

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Will >100,000 people regularly use visual AR during everyday life by 2030

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Apple releases more than 3 VR / AR headsets before 2031

Will my roommate see someone using an Apple AR Headset in a public cafe before 2025?