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Prediction markets for App Stores

Will the EU find Apple's App Store changes non-compliant with the DMA?

Feb 22, 11:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.81%chance

17338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

936

Will the Google Gemini App have as many reviews as the ChatGPT app on the Apple app store by end of 2024?

Feb 9, 1:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.97%chance

221857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

789

Will Manifold be banned from the Apple app store by the end of 2024?

Dec 30, 3:11 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8%chance

311429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1667

882

Will TikTok be downloadable on the Apple iOS app store at the end of June 2025?

Apr 24, 4:06 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

91.89%chance

142928

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3243

460

If TikTok is removed from the app store, will an iPhone with TikTok installed sell for $10,000+ on eBay within 1yr?

Mar 18, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.63%chance

20942

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

866

📲 Will Apple announce an AI App Store at WWDC 2024?

Mar 26, 2:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.98%chance

171461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2130

842

Will OpenAi release an app on the Mac App Store in 2024?

Feb 1, 7:48 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

93.38%chance

513195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1719

715

Will Microsoft open a third party app store for iPhones in the US before 2026?

Jan 4, 11:32 AMJan 11, 8:00 AM

65.62%chance

567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

110

Will Apple allow third-party app stores on iPhones in the US before the end of 2025?

Jan 4, 11:31 AMJan 11, 8:00 AM

34.45%chance

8181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

122

Will Apple VR App Store revenue surpass Meta Quest Store revenues in 4 years?

Aug 1, 10:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54%chance

324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

92

88

Will TikTok be available to US users in Apple and/or Google's official app store on December 31st, 2025?

Apr 24, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.88%chance

10636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

212

[EASY MANA] Leave a review for Manifold Markets on the App Store

Aug 9, 1:54 AMAug 9, 2:29 PM

00

Articles

Latest stories

Apple Contests EU's Digital Markets Act; Amazon's $1.4B iRobot Deal Probed; Google May Face $2.7B EU Fine, Scraps Cloud Fees
Authors
19
6 months
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Apple Challenges EU's Digital Markets Act, Insists on Five Separate Stores, Margrethe Vestager Urges Third-Party App Stores and Sideloading with Tim Cook
Authors
6
6 months
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