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Prediction markets for Anom
Prediction markets for Anom
Will any month in 2024 have the highest temperature anomaly on record?
Nov 8, 11:37 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
17.62%
chance
24
2348
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2125
269
By 2035, will the presence of anomalously high levels of phosphine on Venus be confirmed by spacecraft?
Sep 29, 8:57 PM
Dec 2, 4:59 AM
29.76%
chance
13
359
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1084
951
Is the beryllium/helium ATOMKI anomaly due to a new particle?
Jun 10, 7:10 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
11.5%
chance
19
475
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1316
910
Will the muon g-2 anomaly turn out the be a real phenomenon?
Apr 12, 12:54 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10.37%
chance
10
1272
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1211
943
IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is 440-445 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030?
Nov 7, 6:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
61.59%
chance
6
140
Option
Votes
NO
YES
440
315
Does a light sterile neutrino explain any experimental physics anomalies?
Nov 24, 6:23 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
24%
chance
8
162
Option
Votes
YES
NO
205
122
2050 Global Temperature Anomaly X Wheat Price
Jun 30, 2:38 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2
130
Length of longest sequence of years with an increasing July temperature anomaly for the period 2020-2035.
Sep 4, 1:22 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
3
36
New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030
Nov 1, 10:05 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 AM
52.3%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
May 26, 11:52 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
66.85%
chance
9
425
Option
Votes
NO
YES
520
301
Will "Anomalous tokens reveal the original identiti..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mar 13, 1:29 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14.88%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
NO
YES
121
114
In 2025, will I think I should have paid attention to the Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly spike?
Jul 20, 9:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44.03%
chance
4
63
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
100
Articles
Latest stories
'DARK WIRE' by Joseph F. Cox Reveals FBI's Anom Sting Operation
Authors
7
3 months
Culture
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