Anime News

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.56%chance

16870748

OptionVotes

YES

2080

1864

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.47%chance

13111981

OptionVotes

YES

2969

2380

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.2%chance

21339153

OptionVotes

YES

4702

1324

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Feb 27, 12:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

79.16%chance

13826215

OptionVotes

YES

3817

2915

Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050

Jun 15, 10:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.98%chance

655

OptionVotes

YES

139

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

May 4, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.21%chance

895154

OptionVotes

YES

1773

1678

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Jul 15, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.08%chance

32234153

OptionVotes

YES

7097

352

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Nov 18, 4:05 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.13%chance

109177667

OptionVotes

YES

3259

251

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.97%chance

7810818

OptionVotes

YES

4296

865

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.62%chance

7310882

OptionVotes

YES

1667

955

Will a human have offspring with a non-human animal before the end of 2024?

Jun 12, 10:39 AMDec 12, 10:59 PM

4.96%chance

423920

OptionVotes

YES

1521

935

Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?

May 26, 12:16 PMMay 26, 1:59 PM

67.54%chance

374297

OptionVotes

YES

1443

693

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By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *total* AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Will a human have offspring with a non-human animal before the end of 2024?

Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Anime

Prediction markets for Anime

Prediction markets for Anime

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *total* AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?