Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
An Absurdity News
Prediction markets for An Absurdity
Prediction markets for An Absurdity
Discourse 2024: "A year of absurd abundance"?
Jan 7, 1:42 PM
Jan 30, 10:59 PM
25.98%
chance
3
34
Option
Votes
YES
NO
104
50
Will superposition in transformers be mostly solved by 2026?
Mar 16, 7:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.63%
chance
79
15992
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3021
1249
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Jun 19, 3:47 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
3.99%
chance
38
4162
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2631
853
Will I be satisfied by 2025 that Israeli leadership did not deliberately ignore information about the Hamas attack?
Oct 11, 4:12 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
50.03%
chance
20
1263
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1076
906
Will the White House Press Secretary giggle when asked about AI extinction risks before 2025?
Aug 2, 1:01 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
15.19%
chance
26
3050
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1458
764
How will the most entertaining question resolve?
Feb 20, 3:33 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
44.28%
chance
6
48
Option
Votes
YES
NO
371
368
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
Nov 23, 10:01 PM
Dec 2, 6:59 AM
18.45%
chance
6
89
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
119
What is the probability of dying in Snake Eyes Variant NNN?
Jun 24, 6:58 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2
19
Who will be elected as mayor of São Paulo, largest Brazilian city in October, 2024?
Jan 20, 12:12 AM
Oct 29, 3:59 AM
4
175
[Convince Me] Aspartame (the molecule) is in any way harmful to human health [bet down to 1%, 500 lim]
Jul 2, 12:48 PM
Jul 10, 8:09 AM
6%
chance
18
3187
Option
Votes
NO
YES
976
842
Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?
Jul 6, 9:38 PM
Jan 1, 10:38 PM
75.28%
chance
6
75
Option
Votes
NO
YES
245
131
(Allegedly) the greatest of ALL mysteries: are ghosts real?
Jan 14, 10:14 PM
22
0
Articles
Latest stories
No stories found