Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Alpha News
Top stories
Firefly Aerospace Expands Alpha Launches to Sweden, Prepares for Fifth Mission with Eight CubeSats
Authors
4
21 hours
Europe
Startups
World
Prediction markets for Alpha
Prediction markets for Alpha
Will the Flexport internal prediction market on freight rates have alpha (as per their CEO)?
Dec 30, 9:54 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68.26%
chance
35
936
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1057
806
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
Sep 8, 3:56 AM
Dec 31, 12:00 PM
79.96%
chance
11
157
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1103
949
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
Feb 25, 9:42 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5.99%
chance
17
1053
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1701
884
If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)
Jun 13, 11:45 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
10.03%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
250
250
Will Drew DeVault's SourceHut complete alpha and start beta before or at EOY 2024?
Jul 14, 2:47 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 PM
74.29%
chance
2
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
49
Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028
Mar 23, 2:20 PM
Jan 16, 10:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
130
111
Will VCARB Visa Cash App RB finish the 2024 Formula 1 season with more points-per-race than Alpha Tauri the 2023 season?
Feb 19, 4:40 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
77.93%
chance
2
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
94
27
Will the generation after generation alpha also be defined by a technological rather than political/cultural change?
Jan 30, 4:01 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
56.14%
chance
9
65
Option
Votes
NO
YES
182
160
How does humanity establish its first permanent colony within the Alpha Centauri system?
Aug 22, 5:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
82
How many distinct celestial bodies will be known in Alpha Centauri system in 2030?
May 2, 11:22 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
4
75
Will AI/foundation models be able to extract the exponential parameter alpha of an exponential plot by EOY 2025?
Jan 17, 10:28 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
64.3%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
75
When will the first human colony be established in Alpha Centauri
Jun 5, 9:48 PM
Dec 2, 4:59 AM
9
67
Articles
Latest stories
No stories found