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Top stories

Sigourney Weaver to Receive Honorary Golden Lion for Lifetime Achievement at 2024 Venice Film Festival
Authors
8
4 days
Italy
Movies
World

Prediction markets for Aliens

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

38.03%chance

373734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

869

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jul 27, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

10142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

976

A Government to confirm the existence of alien 👽 life on earth 🌎 by 2025.

Jan 13, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:51 PM

3.82%chance

17269773

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3741

1463

Will NASA confirm the discovery of aliens before 2025?

Jun 22, 9:54 AMDec 31, 7:29 PM

5.32%chance

8435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

422

24

Are the Mexican alien bodies real? (scientific journal, 2025)

Sep 13, 7:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.71%chance

21267888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7054

2313

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

22.72%chance

25643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

969

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Feb 3, 6:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

14.31%chance

16631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

978

Will we discover alien life before 2040?

Feb 23, 11:28 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

23.56%chance

161180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

953

Will we discover alien life before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

21.89%chance

241145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

975

Will we discover alien life before 2038?

Feb 10, 12:19 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

15.79%chance

18672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

966

Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?

Jan 18, 9:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

84.42%chance

392026

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

940

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.62%chance

603353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

379

Articles

Latest stories

Sigourney Weaver to Receive Honorary Golden Lion for Lifetime Achievement at 2024 Venice Film Festival
Authors
8
4 days
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Movies
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Fede Álvarez’s 'Alien: Romulus' Trailer Released, Starring Cailee Spaeny and David Jonsson, In Theaters August 16
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New 'ALIEN: ROMULUS' Film to Blend 'Alien' and 'Aliens', Featuring Cailee Spaeny, David Jonsson, and Android Character; Poster and Trailer Release Soon, In Theaters August 16
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Director Fede Álvarez Blends 'Alien' and 'Aliens' in 'Alien: Romulus'; Cailee Spaeny and David Jonsson Star - Release Date and Trailer Release Awaited
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Cailee Spaeny to Star in 'ALIEN: ROMULUS' Hybrid Film Directed by Fede Álvarez
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Alien: Romulus Film Blends Alien & Aliens, Features Cailee Spaeny, Ridley Scott Producing, Release Date: August 16, 2024
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New Film 'Alien: Romulus' Teaser Trailer by Fede Álvarez Promises Return to Horror Roots, Set to Release August 16
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Cailee Spaeny Confirms Fede Alvarez's 'Alien: Romulus' Set Between First Two Films
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