ALGO News

Tether to Discontinue USDT Minting on EOS and Algorand Starting June 24
Authors
13
9 days
Crypto

Will a polynomial time factoring algorithm be found by 2035?

Sep 6, 8:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.51%chance

482373

OptionVotes

YES

2324

1293

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.64%chance

251921

OptionVotes

YES

1184

566

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Dec 16, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.06%chance

27890

OptionVotes

YES

1057

819

Will "My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Mar 18, 6:04 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

44.06%chance

13386

OptionVotes

YES

1139

737

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41.73%chance

9593

OptionVotes

YES

1182

846

Will New York State bill to "regulate social media algorithms for children" be implemented in 2024?

Jun 4, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

131999

OptionVotes

YES

1393

718

Will OpenAI Release a Chatbot Using the Q* Algorithm in 2024

Nov 23, 9:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.07%chance

191029

OptionVotes

YES

1234

911

If TikTok is sold, will the algorithm be included in the sale?

Apr 25, 9:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.95%chance

13399

OptionVotes

YES

1159

917

Will a matmul algorithm better than O(n^{2.371552}) [Willians et al. 2023] be published before the end of 2025?

Aug 7, 9:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.94%chance

251004

OptionVotes

YES

1143

921

Will I be explaining to people that there are AI algorithms on the way that don't just mimic humans by end of 2024?

Jan 1, 1:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.19%chance

19323

OptionVotes

YES

1034

966

Will Manifold use a collaborative resolution algorithm before 2025?

Nov 16, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.58%chance

17684

OptionVotes

YES

1465

777

By 2030, will there be an bottom-up trained AI/bot in Runescape that reaches Combat Level 50 (bypassing Runescape's natural bot-detection algorithms)?

Jan 1, 7:36 AMJan 1, 4:01 PM

71.03%chance

451249

OptionVotes

YES

1266

814

Latest stories

Tether to Discontinue USDT Minting on EOS and Algorand Starting June 24
Authors
13
9 days
Crypto

ALGO News

Top stories

Prediction markets for ALGO

Prediction markets for ALGO

Prediction markets for ALGO

Will a polynomial time factoring algorithm be found by 2035?

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Will "My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Will New York State bill to "regulate social media algorithms for children" be implemented in 2024?

Will OpenAI Release a Chatbot Using the Q* Algorithm in 2024

If TikTok is sold, will the algorithm be included in the sale?

Will a matmul algorithm better than O(n^{2.371552}) [Willians et al. 2023] be published before the end of 2025?

Will I be explaining to people that there are AI algorithms on the way that don't just mimic humans by end of 2024?

Will Manifold use a collaborative resolution algorithm before 2025?

By 2030, will there be an bottom-up trained AI/bot in Runescape that reaches Combat Level 50 (bypassing Runescape's natural bot-detection algorithms)?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for ALGO

Prediction markets for ALGO

Prediction markets for ALGO

Will a polynomial time factoring algorithm be found by 2035?

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Will "My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?