Alexa News

Amazon Considers $5-$10 Monthly Fee for AI-Powered Alexa, Launch as Soon as August
Authors
42
9 days
Economics
AI
Business

Will Amazon release a version of Alexa with GPT4-level intelligence by the end of 2025?

Jul 30, 5:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.08%chance

552992

OptionVotes

YES

1069

960

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Jan 15, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.01%chance

432671

OptionVotes

YES

1231

820

Will an LLM be integrated into a major smart assistant (i.e., Google, Siri, Alexa, Bixby) before the end of 2024?

Dec 19, 10:04 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

93.02%chance

15436

OptionVotes

YES

1402

933

Will Valentia Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso fight for a third time in the UFC before 2025?

Sep 17, 5:14 AMJan 2, 1:29 PM

88.62%chance

61187

OptionVotes

YES

272

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Mar 18, 6:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.46%chance

276100830

OptionVotes

YES

5123

798

Between Google and Amazon, which will release a voice assistant with generative AI first?

Aug 5, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35688

Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?

Apr 5, 11:09 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

12453

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.33%chance

9638551

OptionVotes

YES

3747

1509

In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

Feb 3, 4:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

1029332

OptionVotes

YES

1730

1390

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Apr 9, 1:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.65%chance

12496393

OptionVotes

YES

1517

710

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Feb 3, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

11373

OptionVotes

YES

993

978

Will Scott Alexander get divorced?

Apr 29, 2:06 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

24.93%chance

28891

OptionVotes

YES

1004

944

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Alexa News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Alexa

Prediction markets for Alexa

Prediction markets for Alexa

Will Amazon release a version of Alexa with GPT4-level intelligence by the end of 2025?

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Will an LLM be integrated into a major smart assistant (i.e., Google, Siri, Alexa, Bixby) before the end of 2024?

Will Valentia Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso fight for a third time in the UFC before 2025?

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Between Google and Amazon, which will release a voice assistant with generative AI first?

Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Will Scott Alexander get divorced?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Alexa

Prediction markets for Alexa

Prediction markets for Alexa

Will Amazon release a version of Alexa with GPT4-level intelligence by the end of 2025?

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Will an LLM be integrated into a major smart assistant (i.e., Google, Siri, Alexa, Bixby) before the end of 2024?

Will Valentia Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso fight for a third time in the UFC before 2025?

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Between Google and Amazon, which will release a voice assistant with generative AI first?

Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?