AI Innovators News

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?

Jul 24, 7:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.5%chance

9716001

OptionVotes

YES

2265

1103

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one hundred billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

60.45%chance

17634

OptionVotes

YES

1730

1051

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than ten billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

73.84%chance

151472

OptionVotes

YES

1936

988

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one trillion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 9:56 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

28.12%chance

121007

OptionVotes

YES

1703

1017

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than a billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

86.78%chance

221450

OptionVotes

YES

2411

1180

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?

Jul 24, 7:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.53%chance

181124

OptionVotes

YES

1209

823

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

51%chance

759

OptionVotes

YES

156

143

Is the innovation over with AI sitting on every table of a creative and coding gigs?

Feb 19, 1:10 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

310

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.95%chance

221351

OptionVotes

YES

1355

855

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

20707

OptionVotes

YES

1108

940

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.11%chance

271627

OptionVotes

YES

1112

876

Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement?

Jun 12, 10:46 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

59.74%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

1218

821

Latest stories

Fortune Magazine's Inaugural 50 AI Innovators List Recognizes AbnormalSec, AdeptAILabs, InflectionAI, SnorkelAI, MagicalTome, HippocraticAI, Path_AI, OpenAI, MyReplika, and Dataiku for AI Advancements
Authors
4
7 months
VC
AI
Business

AI Innovators News

Prediction markets for AI Innovators

Prediction markets for AI Innovators

Prediction markets for AI Innovators

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one hundred billion dollars by 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than ten billion dollars by 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one trillion dollars by 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than a billion dollars by 2030?

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

Is the innovation over with AI sitting on every table of a creative and coding gigs?

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for AI Innovators

Prediction markets for AI Innovators

Prediction markets for AI Innovators

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one hundred billion dollars by 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than ten billion dollars by 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one trillion dollars by 2030?

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than a billion dollars by 2030?

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]