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AI Boost News
Prediction markets for AI Boost
Prediction markets for AI Boost
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before December 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M boost added]
Jan 12, 3:20 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
67.49%
chance
47
4952
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1507
853
What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?
Oct 8, 6:00 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
10
619
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
73.68%
chance
13
2914
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1075
955
Would a China-Taiwan war shorten AI timelines?
Sep 6, 6:28 AM
Dec 14, 4:59 AM
22.29%
chance
11
214
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1114
947
Will Sony release a PS5 Pro by the end of Q4 2024?
Oct 14, 11:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
79%
chance
33
1822
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1441
814
4) The most advanced closed models will continue to outperform the most advanced open models by a meaningful margin.
Dec 25, 1:33 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
92.3%
chance
37
1358
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1549
911
Will another top 20 market creator be found to be using alts to boost their numbers, by EOY 2024?
Apr 11, 12:39 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
55.24%
chance
7
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
236
206
Will human intelligence augmentation / embryo selection get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:26 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
52.08%
chance
7
112
Option
Votes
NO
YES
265
178
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