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Prediction markets for Actions

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.46%chance

705493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6274

6067

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

27.08%chance

388425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

292

Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024?

May 17, 6:39 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

43.56%chance

262012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

879

Will Aer Lingus and IALPA come to an agreement on a raise that ends the work-to-rule industrial action by July 2nd?

Jun 27, 11:38 PMJul 4, 4:59 AM

51.19%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

976

Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 5:19 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

68%chance

13642

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

749

Will the FTC make any public moves to take antitrust action against Apple before 2025?

Dec 10, 3:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71%chance

21417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

957

Will any college be found using affirmative action (after the ruling banning it) before 2025?

Jul 3, 11:29 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

74.84%chance

11108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

982

Will Authors win their class action lawsuit against OpenAI?

Oct 9, 2:26 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

32.05%chance

14315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

973

Will the top marginal tax rate in the United States be changed by Congressional action before the end of 2024?

Jul 17, 8:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.91%chance

12376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

942

Will the class action lawsuit against Dunkin Donuts for charging extra for nondairy milk be successful?

Feb 12, 3:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.47%chance

13489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

944

A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.

Dec 27, 4:34 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

48.46%chance

16372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

908

Will anyone say the words "excuse me, princess" in the upcoming live-action Legend of Zelda movie?

Nov 8, 5:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.31%chance

24394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

964

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