Accel News

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Jun 25, 1:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92%chance

162184

OptionVotes

YES

339

Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before the end of 2030?

Sep 2, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.89%chance

9071425

OptionVotes

YES

2907

1817

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

20707

OptionVotes

YES

1108

940

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

Oct 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.76%chance

23539

OptionVotes

YES

1023

903

Will the FP8 numeric format be considered a required feature for AI frameworks and accelerator hardware before the end of 2024?

Jan 7, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.81%chance

15393

OptionVotes

YES

1063

918

Will the Clean Electricity and Transmission Acceleration Act (CETA) with Intervenor Funding Provisions Pass By EOY 2024?

Jan 31, 12:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.83%chance

12563

OptionVotes

YES

995

991

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?

Mar 8, 9:38 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

31.62%chance

161196

OptionVotes

YES

995

984

Will Y Combinator accept fewer companies into its accelerator between 2028-2030 than between 2020-2022?

Jan 5, 8:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.17%chance

22675

OptionVotes

YES

1065

923

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

Dec 2, 11:00 AMDec 10, 7:59 AM

24.39%chance

221100

OptionVotes

YES

1164

909

Will there be a lunar particle accelerator by the beginning of 2050?

Nov 15, 7:04 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20.91%chance

15252

OptionVotes

YES

1143

942

Will we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.75%chance

13359

OptionVotes

YES

1100

964

Will an effective accelerationist (e/acc) be in an important AI policy role for the White House before the end of 2025?

Jul 2, 11:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.96%chance

81412

OptionVotes

YES

2384

419

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Accel News

Prediction markets for Accel

Prediction markets for Accel

Prediction markets for Accel

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before the end of 2030?

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

Will the FP8 numeric format be considered a required feature for AI frameworks and accelerator hardware before the end of 2024?

Will the Clean Electricity and Transmission Acceleration Act (CETA) with Intervenor Funding Provisions Pass By EOY 2024?

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?

Will Y Combinator accept fewer companies into its accelerator between 2028-2030 than between 2020-2022?

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

Will there be a lunar particle accelerator by the beginning of 2050?

Will we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?

Will an effective accelerationist (e/acc) be in an important AI policy role for the White House before the end of 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Accel

Prediction markets for Accel

Prediction markets for Accel

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before the end of 2030?

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

Will the FP8 numeric format be considered a required feature for AI frameworks and accelerator hardware before the end of 2024?

Will the Clean Electricity and Transmission Acceleration Act (CETA) with Intervenor Funding Provisions Pass By EOY 2024?

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?