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21st Century News
Prediction markets for 21st Century
Prediction markets for 21st Century
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
58.11%
chance
27
1627
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1112
876
Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century?
Nov 11, 3:45 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
37.96%
chance
21
433
Option
Votes
NO
YES
987
983
Will faithless electors change a US Presidential election outcome in the 21st century?
Aug 22, 9:07 PM
Dec 31, 12:00 PM
14.61%
chance
13
260
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1158
937
Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?
May 4, 12:36 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 PM
15%
chance
11
431
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1049
973
Best US President of 21st century
Sep 25, 12:37 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
10
372
Will an elector from Washington, D.C. vote for a Republican President in the 21st century?
Oct 19, 8:28 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
28.24%
chance
4
269
Option
Votes
YES
NO
262
132
Will New Zealand host the Summer Olympic Games in the 21st century?
Nov 7, 11:41 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 AM
16.77%
chance
8
335
Option
Votes
YES
NO
328
74
Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century?
Apr 16, 2:51 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
5
436
Will New Zealand fail to qualify for a Rugby World Cup in the 21st century?
Feb 9, 7:58 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 AM
19.11%
chance
4
142
Option
Votes
YES
NO
165
57
Will Washington, D.C. be won by any party other than the Democrats in any POTUS election in the 21st century?
Jul 26, 4:17 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
62.44%
chance
8
144
Option
Votes
NO
YES
206
175
How far will the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act go?
Aug 22, 1:36 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
160
Which New Zealand birds will go extinct in the 21st century?
Oct 30, 12:16 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 AM
6
398
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14
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14
5 months
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