2024 General Elections News

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Jun 10, 9:14 AMJul 3, 10:59 PM

94%chance

1730457

OptionVotes

YES

40087

2800

Will a democrat win the state attorney general election in Pennsylvania in 2024?

Oct 18, 9:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.51%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

1626

1555

Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?

Jun 9, 1:37 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

4.36%chance

16733538

OptionVotes

YES

6077

196

Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)?

Mar 15, 4:23 PMDec 31, 9:29 AM

25.86%chance

1037356

OptionVotes

YES

2170

772

Which party will win the 2024 UK General Election?

Sep 5, 1:58 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

3413046

Will a coalition government be formed in South Africa following the 2024 general election?

Dec 1, 8:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.8%chance

455965

OptionVotes

YES

5111

419

Will I vote for Scott Alexander in the 2024 general presidential election?

Sep 6, 5:47 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

15.88%chance

12311

OptionVotes

YES

1140

950

Will a UK General Election be held during Q4 2024?

Apr 5, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.3%chance

8422129

OptionVotes

YES

5829

103

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

May 31, 1:56 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

53.97%chance

458142

OptionVotes

YES

1083

924

Will a uk general election be called in the latter six months of 2024?

Oct 16, 3:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38%chance

283295

OptionVotes

YES

1402

270

UK General Election 2024 - Will there be a poll where the Labour lead is at least 30 points?

May 29, 9:54 AMJul 4, 10:00 AM

37.2%chance

151411

OptionVotes

YES

1299

770

Will a moderator ask about catastrophic AI risks in a US 2024 general presidential election debate?

Sep 2, 8:55 PMNov 10, 4:59 AM

27.07%chance

15544

OptionVotes

YES

999

964

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2024 General Elections News

Prediction markets for 2024 General Elections

Prediction markets for 2024 General Elections

Prediction markets for 2024 General Elections

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Will a democrat win the state attorney general election in Pennsylvania in 2024?

Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?

Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)?

Which party will win the 2024 UK General Election?

Will a coalition government be formed in South Africa following the 2024 general election?

Will I vote for Scott Alexander in the 2024 general presidential election?

Will a UK General Election be held during Q4 2024?

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

Will a uk general election be called in the latter six months of 2024?

UK General Election 2024 - Will there be a poll where the Labour lead is at least 30 points?

Will a moderator ask about catastrophic AI risks in a US 2024 general presidential election debate?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for 2024 General Elections

Prediction markets for 2024 General Elections

Prediction markets for 2024 General Elections

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Will a democrat win the state attorney general election in Pennsylvania in 2024?

Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?

Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)?

Which party will win the 2024 UK General Election?

Will a coalition government be formed in South Africa following the 2024 general election?

Will I vote for Scott Alexander in the 2024 general presidential election?