2022 Finals News

Will the 2022 World Cup final between France and Argentina be found to be staged by end of 2024?

Dec 24, 2:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1%chance

162253

OptionVotes

YES

2193

942

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Feb 26, 6:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24%chance

19161624371

OptionVotes

YES

8578

7593

Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2024 than it was in 2022?

Jan 13, 4:01 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

25.21%chance

16278

OptionVotes

YES

1046

974

Will "The Penguin" (Batman spinoff TV show) have an IMDB rating >7.5, one week after release?

Mar 22, 8:22 PMDec 31, 9:13 PM

65.8%chance

12209

OptionVotes

YES

1035

974

Contingent on Twitter "collapsing", no SINGLE widely recognized successor will emerge within TWO years.

Nov 4, 6:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

74.11%chance

243392

OptionVotes

YES

981

932

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.71%chance

112191

OptionVotes

YES

1183

892

In 2024, will voice interfaces reach the level implied by 2011 Siri commercials?

Jan 20, 5:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.25%chance

11188

OptionVotes

YES

1120

954

How many housing units will be built in California by 2025 because of 2022-2023 'builder's remedy' permits?

Feb 4, 8:20 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

55.05%chance

331742

OptionVotes

YES

1014

889

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

15.14%chance

20851

OptionVotes

YES

1099

963

Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 (2021 USD) per unit before 2025?

Oct 22, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13%chance

111115

OptionVotes

YES

1568

783

Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?

Aug 14, 9:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.93%chance

9918244

OptionVotes

YES

4739

534

Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?

Feb 14, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.18%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

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2022 Finals News

Prediction markets for 2022 Finals

Prediction markets for 2022 Finals

Prediction markets for 2022 Finals

Will the 2022 World Cup final between France and Argentina be found to be staged by end of 2024?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2024 than it was in 2022?

Will "The Penguin" (Batman spinoff TV show) have an IMDB rating >7.5, one week after release?

Contingent on Twitter "collapsing", no SINGLE widely recognized successor will emerge within TWO years.

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

In 2024, will voice interfaces reach the level implied by 2011 Siri commercials?

How many housing units will be built in California by 2025 because of 2022-2023 'builder's remedy' permits?

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 (2021 USD) per unit before 2025?

Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?

Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for 2022 Finals

Prediction markets for 2022 Finals

Prediction markets for 2022 Finals

Will the 2022 World Cup final between France and Argentina be found to be staged by end of 2024?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2024 than it was in 2022?

Will "The Penguin" (Batman spinoff TV show) have an IMDB rating >7.5, one week after release?

Contingent on Twitter "collapsing", no SINGLE widely recognized successor will emerge within TWO years.

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

In 2024, will voice interfaces reach the level implied by 2011 Siri commercials?