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USSR News
Prediction markets for USSR
Prediction markets for USSR
Will the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?
Feb 8, 4:37 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
16
933
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
265
328322
The head of state of which [country] will first officially be named [title] of that country?
Feb 8, 5:23 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
510
Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?
Nov 5, 3:13 AM
Nov 12, 4:59 AM
7.23%
chance
11
377
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1141
963
Will the USA dissolve by 2034?
Apr 15, 6:29 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
5.16%
chance
17
1877
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1515
907
Will China fully annex Taiwan before 2053?
Apr 7, 6:58 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
25.93%
chance
4
48
Option
Votes
YES
NO
127
69
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2024?
Dec 29, 3:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36
2626
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
51%
chance
7
59
Option
Votes
YES
NO
156
143
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