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Prediction markets for US Southwest
Prediction markets for US Southwest
Will the critically endangered Mexican Wolf population in the southwestern US reach 300+ wolves in their 2023 census?
Jan 10, 6:14 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.25%
chance
5
33
Option
Votes
YES
NO
175
129
If Biden wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern border)
Mar 9, 9:01 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
43.03%
chance
93
12890
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8125
6254
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
Mar 4, 3:51 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
80.25%
chance
114
10721
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10138
6208
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
Mar 9, 10:33 PM
Oct 31, 6:59 AM
35%
chance
11
803
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1055
953
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Will Marc Lore's planned city of Telosa begin construction before 2030?
May 1, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
44.82%
chance
5
103
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
Jan 10, 3:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5.91%
chance
4
348
Option
Votes
YES
NO
372
80
If Biden wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
Mar 9, 10:33 PM
Oct 31, 6:59 AM
45.35%
chance
9
493
Option
Votes
YES
NO
289
185
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
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2 months
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