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Top stories

Pelosi Questions Biden's Health After Debate, Cites Cold
Authors
14
2 days
Washington DC
Economics
Health

Prediction markets for US House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

105910

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.58%chance

221256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

571

Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election?

Mar 14, 12:13 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

57.75%chance

132351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

894

Will Republicans win the popular vote in the 2024 US House Elections?

Jul 31, 3:35 AMNov 6, 8:00 AM

40.53%chance

434496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

933

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?

Oct 31, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.35%chance

372115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1341

703

Will Republicans take the majority in the US House in 2024?

Jan 4, 1:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.45%chance

371956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

808

Will the US housing market, measured by transactions, recover next year?

Oct 9, 12:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.24%chance

20522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

925

Will Mike Johnson last at least one year as US House Speaker?

Oct 25, 6:19 PMOct 26, 5:59 AM

90.14%chance

333447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2460

624

Will Nancy Mace be renominated to US House?

Oct 21, 4:59 PMOct 1, 4:59 AM

88.03%chance

12380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

966

Will a term limit be placed on the US House before 2030?

Jan 11, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

10.36%chance

11320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

931

Will the 2024 US presidential election be decided in the House of Representatives?

Aug 4, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.84%chance

291492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

915

Will party control of US House of Representatives change prematurely before 2025 inauguration?

Nov 15, 5:54 PMJan 19, 8:00 PM

4.44%chance

111333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

892

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