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Prediction markets for US East Coast
Prediction markets for US East Coast
GOES 19 becomes Operational East before first 2024 US ATL/GulfCoast landfalling Hurricane?
Jun 10, 2:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.1%
chance
1
1569
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1202
832
Will Lorxus, the author of this market, survive SERI MATS 2024 in Tontine?
Jun 5, 11:19 PM
Aug 26, 3:59 AM
90%
chance
5
2033
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3000
333
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
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