US Congress News

Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?

Jan 14, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.57%chance

854709

OptionVotes

YES

1882

1420

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

28.4%chance

11603

OptionVotes

YES

1588

630

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Dec 1, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.23%chance

3310201

OptionVotes

YES

3317

838

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Jul 2024?

Feb 1, 2:48 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

73.26%chance

13173

OptionVotes

YES

1031

976

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23%chance

13114

OptionVotes

YES

1096

956

Will there be at least 10 socialists in US Congress after the 2024 elections?

Sep 10, 5:18 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

69.61%chance

18318

OptionVotes

YES

1096

943

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in May 2025?

Feb 1, 2:52 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

66.46%chance

15155

OptionVotes

YES

1053

965

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?

Oct 31, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42.33%chance

351749

OptionVotes

YES

1217

785

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Aug 2024?

Feb 1, 2:48 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM

61.89%chance

10159

OptionVotes

YES

1036

969

Will an Effective Altruist run for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?

Jan 20, 4:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.81%chance

231038

OptionVotes

YES

1108

883

Will the US Congress pass any new gun legislation in 2024?

Feb 15, 12:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.82%chance

211623

OptionVotes

YES

998

970

Will an Effective Altruist be the Republican Party nominee for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?

Jan 20, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.08%chance

14768

OptionVotes

YES

1218

952

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US Congress News

Prediction markets for US Congress

Prediction markets for US Congress

Prediction markets for US Congress

Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Jul 2024?

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Will there be at least 10 socialists in US Congress after the 2024 elections?

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in May 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Aug 2024?

Will an Effective Altruist run for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?

Will the US Congress pass any new gun legislation in 2024?

Will an Effective Altruist be the Republican Party nominee for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for US Congress

Prediction markets for US Congress

Prediction markets for US Congress

Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Jul 2024?

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Will there be at least 10 socialists in US Congress after the 2024 elections?

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in May 2025?