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Prediction markets for Tube
Prediction markets for Tube
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
40.56%
chance
10
3923
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4999
3609
Will Contrapoints release a video about Philosophy Tube before the end of 2026?
Mar 26, 3:01 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
34.45%
chance
36
1450
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
859
Will the new BART Transbay tube be completed by 2040
Jan 6, 6:25 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9.44%
chance
5
131
Option
Votes
YES
NO
230
97
Where will the first-known extraterrestrial life come from?
Aug 24, 8:33 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
11
269
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
Sep 26, 4:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
72%
chance
18
362
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1081
952
Will the M72/AS01E tuberculosis vaccine candidate have an efficacy of 50% or higher in the phase 3 trial?
Aug 24, 4:14 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
58.76%
chance
4
24
Option
Votes
NO
YES
97
83
Will car tubeless tires become commercially available by 2030?
Oct 20, 3:26 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
74.29%
chance
2
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
49
When will tuberculosis kill less than 1 million people a year?
Aug 3, 2:36 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
13
708
Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?
Feb 16, 9:15 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
27.35%
chance
19
2070
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3582
2278
Will anyone create an infinite slide before 2030?
Sep 23, 3:10 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
47%
chance
33
985
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1088
866
Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2024?
Jun 9, 10:51 AM
Dec 20, 11:59 PM
66.52%
chance
42
3138
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1088
912
Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?
Jan 3, 6:37 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36.19%
chance
39
1484
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1121
873
Articles
Latest stories
Man Charged with Attempted Murder in 35-Minute London Underground 'Spree of Violence'
Authors
7
18 days
Britain
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Authors
6
27 days
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Authors
7
2 months
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5
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5
4 months
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5
4 months
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Authors
10
4 months
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Authors
18
4 months
Britain
Crime
World
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5
4 months
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4
4 months
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Authors
6
4 months
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Authors
5
4 months
Britain
World
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5
4 months
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World
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Authors
4
5 months
Britain
World
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Authors
5
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UK Government Initiates Multi-Million Pound Project to Improve Accessibility at Alfreton Station, Expected to Complete by Early 2025; Transport for London Announces Over 80 Upgrades for Tube and Bus Network
Authors
4
5 months
Britain
World
London Mayor Sadiq Khan Trials £24 Million Off-Peak Tube and Rail Fares in March for Three Months to Boost Economy, Benefit 1.2 Million Londoners
Authors
18
5 months
Britain
World
London Mayor Enacts £123M Public Transport Fare Freeze Amid Criticism
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9
5 months
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RMT Union Plans Strikes, Causing Severe Disruption for London Tube
Authors
66
6 months
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World
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Authors
6
6 months
Britain
World
UK Christmas Violence: 23-Year-Old Charged in Cardiff, Teenager Charged in London
Authors
18
6 months
Britain
World
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