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Prediction markets for transit

Will there be another pandemic in the USA that results in mask mandates on public transit by the end of 2030?

Mar 30, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.64%chance

473417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

572

Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?

Jul 7, 6:47 PMJul 7, 7:59 PM

47%chance

13459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

907

Will 2 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?

Jun 9, 10:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.35%chance

10416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

862

Will 3 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?

Jun 5, 8:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.22%chance

231315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

820

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Jul 10, 12:58 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

71.77%chance

445803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

909

Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?

Jun 24, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.82%chance

191306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2147

466

Is there a major error in this transit-vs-car comparison https://ti.org/antiplanner/?p=88 ?

Jun 20, 9:50 PMJun 21, 6:59 AM

86.27%chance

167719

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2506

399

Will Twitter user @deprogrammingsocks transition or make plans do to so by EOY 2025?

Apr 1, 1:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.9%chance

156496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2274

326

Will the German Football Federation successfully transition to Nike by 2027?

Mar 21, 10:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.16%chance

10315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

916

Will Zelenskyy's tenure as president end with a peaceful democratic transition?

Feb 1, 6:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86%chance

18966

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

944

Will there be a transitioned transgender player that has played multiple games in the NBA by the end of 2030?

Mar 31, 12:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.76%chance

12381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

899

Will there be a transitioned transgender player that has played multiple games in the NFL by the end of 2030?

Mar 31, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.87%chance

10576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

866

Articles

Latest stories

US Sees Major Federal Funding for Infrastructure, Including $149M for Vegas Transit
Authors
37
3 months
Politics

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