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Prediction markets for Thermal

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Apr 12, 9:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.26%chance

301950

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

962

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2030?

Apr 12, 9:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50%chance

19938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

883

Will Fourth Power's 1 MWh Thermal Battery prototype be operational by Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 18, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

58.56%chance

899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

233

148

What will be true about the new iPhone 16 pro?

Mar 12, 10:15 PMSep 7, 9:59 PM

211232

What will be the sources of non-fossil-fuel energy production in the United States in 2040?

Sep 4, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11846

Will the shape of Starship's flaps have obvious visual changes for IFT5?

Jun 7, 8:11 PMJul 7, 10:59 PM

21.98%chance

3412380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18819

5324

Will the phaseout of Coal from the UK power grid be completed as planned in September 2024?

Mar 9, 7:10 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

79.77%chance

15727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1239

897

Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?

Jul 27, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.43%chance

191406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1376

894

Will the evidence of controlled demolition in WTC 7 be presented to a grand jury by end of 2024?

Jan 7, 2:06 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7.12%chance

133326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

894

Will "induced wind" power plants exist by 2050?

Jul 11, 8:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.58%chance

121158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

932

HB11 Energy will demonstrate fusion net gain with hydrogen-boron fuel by 12/31/2027.

Aug 18, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.47%chance

7198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

84

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