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the Village News
Prediction markets for the Village
Prediction markets for the Village
Super Smash Bros. Stocks
Oct 27, 12:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45
8889
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3794
What would happen in Minecraft 1.21? [Add answers]
Mar 16, 6:39 AM
Aug 13, 8:59 PM
15
2323
How many war crimes will James Bond commit in the next James Bond movie?
Dec 30, 2:45 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
12
913
What Minecraft (game) references will be made in the Minecraft (movie)?
Apr 5, 8:07 PM
Apr 13, 5:59 AM
73
6624
Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?
Jan 10, 3:40 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
64.39%
chance
283
17587
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2534
1979
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
49.2%
chance
13
607
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1250
613
Will Vermont's Condorcet ranked choice voting bill become law?
Jan 30, 3:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29.39%
chance
28
13973
Option
Votes
YES
NO
955
941
Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?
May 22, 8:25 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
80.38%
chance
8
1070
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2024
494
Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?
Jun 4, 11:24 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
57.25%
chance
16
355
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1053
914
What will be the most popular TV anime of 2024 according to MAL?
Mar 1, 9:59 PM
Jan 2, 1:29 PM
5
135
Will I score 1,000,000 points in one game of Dorfromantik in 2024?
Jan 6, 5:38 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
85.98%
chance
8
198
Option
Votes
NO
YES
273
84
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