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Prediction markets for Target

Will OpenAI be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?

Dec 31, 7:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.01%chance

11820526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3365

1893

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 9:00 PM

19.73%chance

2618679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

930

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

18.83%chance

2365624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

930

Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?

Feb 14, 7:03 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.35%chance

12517

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

853

Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026?

Feb 23, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.09%chance

13233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

977

Will a supply chain attack akin to the xz backdoor targeting developer toolchains be discovered before 2025?

Apr 4, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28.58%chance

19835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

942

Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?

Apr 15, 7:34 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

54.52%chance

15220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

939

Will a Boeing 777-9 plane be delivered and in service by the end of 2025? (Boeing's stated target date)

Nov 29, 3:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.33%chance

1087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

977

Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?

Mar 30, 8:11 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

32.91%chance

12260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

975

Will Google's Gemini be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?

Feb 26, 6:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.44%chance

111367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

926

Will a US state vote on a ballot measure this year targeting LGBT+ rights?

Mar 2, 2:41 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

80.59%chance

19584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

870

Will a leading AI organization in Europe be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?

Mar 30, 8:11 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

40.43%chance

13233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

975

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ICE Arrests Four Migrants for Last Week's NYC Target Robbery, Pending Deportation
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New York
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