Taiwan Island News

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

191151

OptionVotes

YES

1087

828

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.43%chance

18377

OptionVotes

YES

1066

855

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

36.09%chance

11273

OptionVotes

YES

997

983

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.95%chance

12381

OptionVotes

YES

1152

945

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.43%chance

567887

OptionVotes

YES

1044

926

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.94%chance

16929

OptionVotes

YES

1332

909

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?

Apr 7, 6:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.62%chance

657809

OptionVotes

YES

1226

932

Bridge built connecting PRC (mainland) and Taiwan (Main Island) through 2040

Sep 4, 8:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.82%chance

4330

OptionVotes

YES

460

Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?

Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.28%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

127

Land Bridge built connecting PRC (mainland) and Taiwan (Main Island) through 2040

Sep 4, 9:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7%chance

7449

OptionVotes

YES

339

126

Suspiciously specific predictions

Apr 15, 10:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

222008

What will the fourth country the 2024 president visits after inauguration?

Nov 28, 4:07 AMMay 2, 6:59 AM

10418

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Taiwan Island News

Prediction markets for Taiwan Island

Prediction markets for Taiwan Island

Prediction markets for Taiwan Island

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?

Bridge built connecting PRC (mainland) and Taiwan (Main Island) through 2040

Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?

Land Bridge built connecting PRC (mainland) and Taiwan (Main Island) through 2040

Suspiciously specific predictions

What will the fourth country the 2024 president visits after inauguration?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Taiwan Island

Prediction markets for Taiwan Island

Prediction markets for Taiwan Island

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?