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State of the District News
Prediction markets for State of the District
Prediction markets for State of the District
Will RFK Jr. win more than 10% of the vote in any state or district in the 2024 presidential election?
Feb 18, 11:13 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
61.08%
chance
93
9730
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1369
259
Pairwise state results: which pairs of states / districts will vote the same way in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Dec 7, 8:03 PM
Nov 6, 6:59 AM
17
2248
Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?
Apr 8, 4:56 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
37.51%
chance
3
24
Option
Votes
YES
NO
108
76
How many of the top 7 Democrat-voting states / district from 2020 will vote D in 2024? (DC, VT, MA, MD, HI, CA, NY)
Oct 14, 3:26 PM
Nov 7, 4:59 AM
6
759
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60
3217
Will a state or district that voted by over 55% for a candidate in the 2020 election vote the opposite way in 2024?
Jul 24, 12:52 PM
Nov 11, 1:29 PM
29.36%
chance
17
388
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
943
Will a Republican flip any state or district not listed here in the 2024 presidential election?
Jun 11, 8:58 PM
Dec 1, 5:59 AM
20.99%
chance
9
246
Option
Votes
NO
YES
139
106
Who will be elected Oregon State Senator, 14th District?
Mar 19, 1:13 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
1
50
Who will be elected Oregon State Representative, 22nd District?
Mar 19, 2:31 AM
Nov 6, 4:00 AM
2
75
Who will be elected Oregon State Senator, 1st District?
Jan 29, 7:53 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
5
228
Who will be elected Oregon State Representative, 32nd District?
Jan 29, 8:35 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
4
445
Who will be elected Oregon State Representative, 17th District?
Mar 19, 2:14 AM
Nov 6, 4:00 AM
1
25
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