State Legislature News

Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Jul 6, 9:23 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

28.01%chance

26600

OptionVotes

YES

1026

974

IF SCOTUS rules AGAINST state legislatures in Moore v. Harper before 2024, will a Republican win the 2024 Presidential election?

Nov 10, 3:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.77%chance

12421

OptionVotes

YES

1021

968

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

YES

659

404

Will the 2024 election maintain GOP super majorities in both chambers of the North Carolina state legislature?

Dec 18, 4:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.09%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?

Feb 20, 4:44 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

24.83%chance

458

OptionVotes

YES

188

100

Will Manifold Politics have a map for state legislature elections?

Mar 5, 10:15 PMNov 6, 6:59 AM

19%chance

6286

OptionVotes

YES

372

Will Wisconsin's gerrymandered state legislature maps be struck down before the next election?

Aug 5, 4:30 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

97.62%chance

1121786

OptionVotes

YES

2272

872

Germany's new party "WerteUnion" ...

Jan 4, 10:10 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

309689

The first state leader born in the 21st century will...

Mar 29, 1:58 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

9545

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Apr 7, 2:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.15%chance

10860

OptionVotes

YES

3481

2513

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

29.38%chance

171180

OptionVotes

YES

1550

645

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

17.59%chance

17729

OptionVotes

YES

1113

957

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State Legislature News

Prediction markets for State Legislature

Prediction markets for State Legislature

Prediction markets for State Legislature

Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?

IF SCOTUS rules AGAINST state legislatures in Moore v. Harper before 2024, will a Republican win the 2024 Presidential election?

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Will the 2024 election maintain GOP super majorities in both chambers of the North Carolina state legislature?

Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?

Will Manifold Politics have a map for state legislature elections?

Will Wisconsin's gerrymandered state legislature maps be struck down before the next election?

Germany's new party "WerteUnion" ...

The first state leader born in the 21st century will...

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for State Legislature

Prediction markets for State Legislature

Prediction markets for State Legislature

Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?

IF SCOTUS rules AGAINST state legislatures in Moore v. Harper before 2024, will a Republican win the 2024 Presidential election?

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Will the 2024 election maintain GOP super majorities in both chambers of the North Carolina state legislature?

Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?

Will Manifold Politics have a map for state legislature elections?

Will Wisconsin's gerrymandered state legislature maps be struck down before the next election?