Spring News

By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?

May 16, 4:43 AMJan 8, 7:59 AM

65.2%chance

251196

OptionVotes

YES

1042

970

Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?

Jun 3, 6:13 PMMar 22, 6:59 AM

44.46%chance

161346

OptionVotes

YES

1118

895

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.06%chance

181026

OptionVotes

YES

1021

939

Will Australian waters experience unusually high temperatures in the coming spring?

Dec 23, 10:27 PMDec 23, 10:59 PM

74.55%chance

15310

OptionVotes

YES

990

984

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Dec 26, 5:44 AMJan 1, 2:00 PM

49.68%chance

16262

OptionVotes

YES

1041

941

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

63%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will Colorado Springs vote Democrat in 2024 presidential?

Nov 17, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.98%chance

5105

OptionVotes

YES

221

Will Orange Juice cost less than Natural Gas on the 2027 Spring Equinox?

Dec 8, 6:30 AMMar 21, 3:59 AM

39.24%chance

338

OptionVotes

YES

Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:14 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

56%chance

247

OptionVotes

YES

Will Zhong Shanshan (founder of Nongfu Spring) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 15, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

4104

OptionVotes

YES

194

Spring stock

Apr 10, 5:33 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

13156

OptionVotes

YES

288

254

What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?

Oct 24, 3:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21172

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Spring News

Prediction markets for Spring

Prediction markets for Spring

Prediction markets for Spring

By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?

Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Will Australian waters experience unusually high temperatures in the coming spring?

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will Colorado Springs vote Democrat in 2024 presidential?

Will Orange Juice cost less than Natural Gas on the 2027 Spring Equinox?

Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will Zhong Shanshan (founder of Nongfu Spring) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Spring stock

What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Spring

Prediction markets for Spring

Prediction markets for Spring

By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?

Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Will Australian waters experience unusually high temperatures in the coming spring?

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will Colorado Springs vote Democrat in 2024 presidential?