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Second Thomas Shoal News
Prediction markets for Second Thomas Shoal
Prediction markets for Second Thomas Shoal
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2026?
Oct 24, 5:36 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
44.05%
chance
3
42
Option
Votes
YES
NO
100
81
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2025?
Oct 24, 5:35 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
25.3%
chance
6
258
Option
Votes
YES
NO
159
78
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near the Second Thomas Shoal before 2025?
Oct 24, 5:29 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
35.13%
chance
3
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
72
During 2024, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Second Thomas Shoal?
Dec 10, 7:44 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
12.21%
chance
8
620
Option
Votes
YES
NO
360
141
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
Oct 24, 5:30 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
42.12%
chance
2
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
100
82
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2030?
Oct 24, 5:37 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
Oct 24, 5:37 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
46.56%
chance
2
27
Option
Votes
YES
NO
95
85
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2025?
Oct 24, 5:16 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
74.58%
chance
5
388
Option
Votes
NO
YES
152
82
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2030?
Oct 24, 5:18 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
YES
NO
75
65
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2026?
Oct 24, 5:16 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
58.19%
chance
4
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
95
85
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2027?
Oct 24, 5:17 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Will the Sierra Madre cease being garrisoned by Filipino soldiers by 2025?
Jun 7, 3:55 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
0
0
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