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Prediction markets for SEA

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.15%chance

6515913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7087

5310

Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Apr 24, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.85%chance

822718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1755

1527

At the next UK general election, will Labour be promising to block all new North Sea oil and gas exploration?

Jun 4, 7:01 PMJul 4, 6:00 AM

99%chance

236216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6129

34

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

74.15%chance

12381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

939

Did Deep Sea Vision really discover Amelia Earhart's plane?

Jan 29, 7:13 PMJan 29, 10:59 PM

24.36%chance

16791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

965

Will a research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?

Feb 17, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.81%chance

12472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

975

Will a permanent research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?

Feb 17, 11:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.63%chance

13210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

962

Will the Houthis cut any Red Sea fiber optic cable in retaliation to US/UK attacks?

Feb 2, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.66%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

958

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

65.91%chance

16384

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

925

Will there be a deep sea expedition sent to recover/visit the wreckage of the Oceangate Titan sub before EOY 2035?

Feb 19, 5:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.33%chance

16261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

980

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?

Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

42.2%chance

361874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

977

Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?

Nov 27, 5:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.84%chance

311784

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

867

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