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Prediction markets for Project Connect

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will a >$10B AI alignment megaproject start work before 2030?

Aug 1, 5:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.66%chance

16740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

985

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.35%chance

191587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

975

967

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.17%chance

11223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

979

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030? [100M subsidy]

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

24.37%chance

183166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

947

Bridge built connecting any major Hawaiian islands through 2040

Aug 28, 2:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.42%chance

142765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

922

Bridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040

Aug 27, 5:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.69%chance

13585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

923

Bridge built connecting England and France through 2040

Aug 26, 5:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.22%chance

6141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

131

Bridge built connecting Uruguay to Argentina near B.A. any time through 2040

Sep 22, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

Bridge built connecting Japan and South Korea through 2040

Aug 27, 5:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.58%chance

9270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

126

Will a plan to connect Leeds to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035?

May 1, 7:50 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

60%chance

3121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

81

Major news report linking Praxis city project and (neo) Feudalism (before 2027)

Sep 14, 8:07 PMJan 1, 7:28 AM

68.34%chance

337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

75

Articles

Latest stories

Texas AG Paxton Opposes Austin Rail Plan, May 28-30 Trial Set
Authors
7
4 months
Texas
Crime
Politics

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