Point Fire News

California Wildfire Season Sees 1,462% Increase in Acres Burned, 14 Active Wildfires
Authors
4
12 days
San Francisco
Politics

Will Firefox have 10% or more desktop browser market share at any point before 2025?

Aug 3, 11:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.43%chance

12809

OptionVotes

YES

1566

920

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

74.15%chance

12381

OptionVotes

YES

1107

939

Will I be laid off before the start of 2025?

Jun 17, 8:06 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

22.75%chance

211428

OptionVotes

YES

1843

543

[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 2, 6:00 PM

6.26%chance

11132401

OptionVotes

YES

3637

937

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

65.91%chance

16384

OptionVotes

YES

1104

925

Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?

May 7, 5:35 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

16.3%chance

15704

OptionVotes

YES

1209

933

Will autonomous lethal weapons platforms or "robot soldiers" be deployed in any conflict by end 2024?

Jul 30, 11:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.09%chance

549253

OptionVotes

YES

906

804

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?

Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

42.2%chance

361874

OptionVotes

YES

1006

977

Will a meteorite cause property damage or injury on Earth in 2024?

Dec 25, 8:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.54%chance

644343

OptionVotes

YES

1474

596

Will Sam Altman be fired or resign as OpenAI CEO before July 2024?

May 20, 11:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

1.48%chance

5830477

OptionVotes

YES

8152

123

Will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war in 2024?

Jan 4, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.43%chance

194160

OptionVotes

YES

1256

920

Will autonomous lethal weapons platforms or "robot soldiers" be deployed in any conflict by end 2030?

Jul 30, 11:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91.97%chance

151284

OptionVotes

YES

1713

846

Latest stories

California Wildfire Season Sees 1,462% Increase in Acres Burned, 14 Active Wildfires
Authors
4
12 days
San Francisco
Politics

Point Fire News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Point Fire

Prediction markets for Point Fire

Prediction markets for Point Fire

Will Firefox have 10% or more desktop browser market share at any point before 2025?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Will I be laid off before the start of 2025?

[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?

Will autonomous lethal weapons platforms or "robot soldiers" be deployed in any conflict by end 2024?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?

Will a meteorite cause property damage or injury on Earth in 2024?

Will Sam Altman be fired or resign as OpenAI CEO before July 2024?

Will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war in 2024?

Will autonomous lethal weapons platforms or "robot soldiers" be deployed in any conflict by end 2030?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Point Fire

Prediction markets for Point Fire

Prediction markets for Point Fire

Will Firefox have 10% or more desktop browser market share at any point before 2025?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Will I be laid off before the start of 2025?

[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?

Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?

Will autonomous lethal weapons platforms or "robot soldiers" be deployed in any conflict by end 2024?