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Prediction markets for Paris 2024

Will the open water swimming events be able to take place in the Seine river for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games?

Aug 6, 8:26 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

48.53%chance

292751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

471

Will any event of the Paris 2024 Olympic Games be postponed or cancelled due to the water quality of the Seine?

Aug 25, 7:59 PMAug 11, 9:59 PM

65.58%chance

312633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1534

482

Will there be a public transportation strike affecting 2024 Paris Olympics

Mar 15, 7:03 PMAug 12, 9:00 PM

72.56%chance

14328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

979

Will Taylor Swift be in attendance at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics?

Mar 30, 8:16 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

51.31%chance

17200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

971

Will South Korea win every gold medal in the archery events at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?

Mar 14, 6:47 PMAug 2, 1:30 PM

31.19%chance

10165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

978

Will a country win its first ever Olympic gold at the Paris 2024 Olympics?

Dec 29, 11:08 AMAug 11, 10:59 PM

74.43%chance

10724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

959

Will a Badminton gold medal be won by a non-Asian country at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?

Mar 15, 7:39 AMAug 9, 3:30 AM

48.84%chance

21659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

947

Will any athlete at the Paris 2024 Olympics fail a sex verification test for their event?

Feb 29, 7:19 PMAug 12, 3:59 AM

25.09%chance

14314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

932

Will France be one of top 5 countries (number of medals won) in the summer 2024 Olympics (Paris)?

Mar 17, 7:45 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

69.43%chance

13344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

942

Will China win the most gold medals at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?

Jun 29, 12:59 PMAug 13, 3:59 AM

25.69%chance

15439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

898

Will the USA win the most Gold medals at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics?

Dec 7, 12:02 AMJul 30, 3:59 AM

81.98%chance

24603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1391

879

[Metaculus] Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024?

Nov 3, 5:24 PMAug 11, 11:00 PM

78.56%chance

10255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

978

Articles

Latest stories

IOC President Thomas Bach Emotionally Sees Olympic Rings on Eiffel Tower for 142nd IOC Session at Paris 2024
Authors
6
16 days
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