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Prediction markets for Pacific island
Prediction markets for Pacific island
Will Australia enter into any similar agreement to the Falepili Union with another Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:06 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
73.15%
chance
5
70
Option
Votes
NO
YES
206
120
Which of these Pacific Island countries will sign 'climate refuge pacts' with Australia before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:30 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
4
45
Which will be the next Pacific Island country to sign a 'climate refuge pact' with Australia?
Nov 10, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
2
18
Will any other country enter into a similar agreement to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:50 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
74.61%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
140
61
Will any of these countries enter into a pact similar to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 12:10 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
1
46
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.38%
chance
21
3391
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3809
3207
Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:07 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
75.32%
chance
11
201
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1027
981
Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:08 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
93.45%
chance
11
457
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1245
953
Will there still be at least six Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:08 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
88.69%
chance
6
160
Option
Votes
NO
YES
330
125
Will Taiwan's government recognise a 17th Indigenous group before 2030?
Apr 10, 9:32 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
70.71%
chance
3
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
125
68
Will the West Coast of the island of Hawai'i experience "Coral Bleaching Warning Level 2" before 2025?
Aug 2, 6:27 PM
Jan 2, 9:59 AM
61.77%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
85
58
Will there still be at least twelve Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:03 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
70%
chance
5
145
Option
Votes
NO
YES
168
107
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