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Oblast News
Prediction markets for Oblast
Prediction markets for Oblast
Will the entirety of the currently designated Kaliningrad Oblast still be administered by Russia at the end of 2028?
Jun 19, 5:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
76.84%
chance
4
85
Option
Votes
NO
YES
185
57
Will russia invade Sumy oblast before 1st of July 2024
May 16, 5:19 PM
Jul 1, 9:59 PM
3.9%
chance
5
465
Option
Votes
YES
NO
496
20
After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Oct 10, 5:03 AM
Feb 1, 6:59 AM
106
38958
What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
Dec 30, 2:51 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
60
6524
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Oct 8, 2:10 PM
Jan 1, 12:01 AM
49.53%
chance
75
5064
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1135
860
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
Jan 5, 3:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
15.09%
chance
12
402
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1248
918
Will Russia launch a major offensive on Kharkiv before September?
May 10, 12:21 PM
Oct 15, 9:59 PM
25.9%
chance
36
4266
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1608
578
[ACX 2024] Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Jan 1, 7:00 PM
5.85%
chance
82
39541
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3002
892
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2025?
Jan 30, 1:27 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
8.68%
chance
14
860
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1493
890
By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Sep 13, 8:40 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.04%
chance
19
1719
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1816
723
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
Mar 18, 11:02 PM
May 29, 8:59 PM
4
86
Will Russia withdraw all its forces and mercenary groups from Donetsk and Luhansk before July 1st 2024?
Aug 8, 5:44 PM
Jul 1, 9:59 PM
1.17%
chance
31
10782
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7822
713
Articles
Latest stories
Overnight Drone Attacks on Kharkiv Kill Four, At Least 20 Injured
Authors
11
3 months
Ukraine
World
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