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Prediction markets for NZ
Prediction markets for NZ
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
Nov 6, 10:25 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
20.3%
chance
22
1991
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1433
798
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Jan 24, 6:49 AM
Oct 14, 11:00 AM
23.07%
chance
19
1520
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1577
734
Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Jan 24, 6:49 AM
Oct 14, 11:00 AM
88.23%
chance
10
1292
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1366
904
Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?
Jun 20, 3:57 AM
Oct 15, 6:59 AM
5.16%
chance
10
837
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1313
950
Will a term limit be placed on NZ Parliament before 2030?
Jan 11, 12:30 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
9.88%
chance
2
101
Option
Votes
YES
NO
171
37
Will the new NZ government actually revert the smoke free legislation before the end of 2024?
Jan 5, 4:49 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
72.51%
chance
3
42
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
66
Will the NZ Electoral Commission still use the Orange Guy in 2038?
May 10, 7:09 AM
Dec 31, 12:00 PM
50.82%
chance
3
25
Option
Votes
NO
YES
117
102
Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?
Nov 28, 1:28 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
64.15%
chance
5
55
Option
Votes
NO
YES
183
127
Will the next NZ government scrap 3 or more of the Act party's "demographic ministries"?
Sep 14, 6:54 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 AM
21.12%
chance
3
77
Option
Votes
YES
NO
162
56
Will an age limit be placed on NZ Parliament before 2030?
Jan 11, 3:15 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
5%
chance
3
169
Option
Votes
YES
NO
258
51
My previous employer failed to pay redundancy. If I take my dispute to (NZ) court, what will the payout be? (Ṁ270 sub)
Oct 24, 1:45 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
2
45
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?
Feb 9, 6:51 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
8
128
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