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5
6 days
Racing
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Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Feb 22, 4:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.45%chance

129189769

OptionVotes

YES

143881

71959

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.25%chance

41391215

OptionVotes

YES

4577

2091

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

4.64%chance

2755235

OptionVotes

YES

74476

15605

Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?

Nov 17, 9:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

31.9%chance

348113012

OptionVotes

YES

10797

8964

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.65%chance

25766061

OptionVotes

YES

1282

768

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

53.05%chance

116103390

OptionVotes

YES

1120

870

Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Feb 1, 5:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.68%chance

10721568

OptionVotes

YES

4228

1787

Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? [Top 6 candidates, new market style]

Jul 1, 8:42 AMJul 19, 3:59 AM

1046333327

Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?

Feb 27, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.98%chance

14417

OptionVotes

YES

2764

2733

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

222862

Will the FTC's new non-compete ban be upheld on final appeal?

Apr 24, 11:45 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

37.55%chance

161096

OptionVotes

YES

2466

1654

Will Music Streaming be replaced by a new thing by 2025?

Jul 28, 1:38 PMMar 31, 10:00 PM

19.75%chance

403440

OptionVotes

YES

985

976

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Prediction markets for New

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Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? [Top 6 candidates, new market style]

Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Will the FTC's new non-compete ban be upheld on final appeal?

Will Music Streaming be replaced by a new thing by 2025?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for New

Prediction markets for New

Prediction markets for New

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?