Nanning News

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.81%chance

81118

OptionVotes

YES

4069

3096

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

105910

WhiteBox Research will solve at least four of Neel Nanda's Concrete Open Problems by the end of September 2024.

Jun 20, 12:04 PMSep 30, 3:59 PM

53.47%chance

3117

OptionVotes

YES

1072

933

Will Fran Drescher reprise her role from "The Nanny" in yet another 90s sitcom remake by 2024?

Oct 15, 11:53 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

55.56%chance

11198

OptionVotes

YES

1025

977

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45.47%chance

15426

OptionVotes

YES

1011

975

Will Neel Nanda's or Lee Sharkey's SERI MATS streams (Summer 2023) produce a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication?

Jul 23, 9:01 PMDec 31, 11:30 AM

31.03%chance

181500

OptionVotes

YES

1069

902

Will someone (who isn't google) extract & open-source the Gemini Nano weights by the end of 2024?

Dec 8, 6:19 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

52.75%chance

201481

OptionVotes

YES

1188

768

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.87%chance

331212

OptionVotes

YES

1003

952

Will Nancy pelosi become a centenarian?

Feb 21, 11:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

14532

OptionVotes

YES

1090

966

Will Gemini Nano's weights be publicly availible before 2025?

Dec 8, 11:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

248326

OptionVotes

YES

1856

442

Will nanotechnology wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jun 25, 3:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.56%chance

14485

OptionVotes

YES

1205

946

Will Nancy Mace be renominated to US House?

Oct 21, 4:59 PMOct 1, 4:59 AM

88.03%chance

12380

OptionVotes

YES

1103

966

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Nanning News

Prediction markets for Nanning

Prediction markets for Nanning

Prediction markets for Nanning

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

WhiteBox Research will solve at least four of Neel Nanda's Concrete Open Problems by the end of September 2024.

Will Fran Drescher reprise her role from "The Nanny" in yet another 90s sitcom remake by 2024?

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Will Neel Nanda's or Lee Sharkey's SERI MATS streams (Summer 2023) produce a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication?

Will someone (who isn't google) extract & open-source the Gemini Nano weights by the end of 2024?

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Will Nancy pelosi become a centenarian?

Will Gemini Nano's weights be publicly availible before 2025?

Will nanotechnology wipe out humanity by 2100?

Will Nancy Mace be renominated to US House?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Nanning

Prediction markets for Nanning

Prediction markets for Nanning

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

WhiteBox Research will solve at least four of Neel Nanda's Concrete Open Problems by the end of September 2024.

Will Fran Drescher reprise her role from "The Nanny" in yet another 90s sitcom remake by 2024?

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Will Neel Nanda's or Lee Sharkey's SERI MATS streams (Summer 2023) produce a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication?

Will someone (who isn't google) extract & open-source the Gemini Nano weights by the end of 2024?